LendingTree, Inc. logo TREE - LendingTree, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $69.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $78.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $69.00
CONSENSUS: $69.00
UPSIDE: 182.67%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 43.4% below fair value
Current Price $24.41
Bear Case $32.89 34.7% upside ($32.89 - $24.41) / $24.41 = 34.7% ROTCE 20.0% → 1.60x TBV
Fair Value $43.16 76.8% upside ($43.16 - $24.41) / $24.41 = 76.8% ROTCE 25.0% → 2.10x TBV
Bull Case $53.44 118.9% upside ($53.44 - $24.41) / $24.41 = 118.9% ROTCE 30.0% → 2.60x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

52.8%
14.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (52.8%) vs. cost of equity (14.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.19x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 52.8% vs. 14.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.10x on $20.55 tangible book, implying $43.16 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (23 analysts) $69.00
Analyst Range $60.00 – $78.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 37%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $69.00 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly