AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Travel + Leisure Co.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag TNL as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Travel + Leisure Co.'s fair value?

Fair value for TNL is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value TNL?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from TNL's most recent reported fundamentals.

TNL - Travel + Leisure Co.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $86.38 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate

Trading 26.9% below fair value

Current Price $65.12

Bear Case $71.26 9.4% upside ($71.26 - $65.12) / $65.12 = 9.4% $4.75 × 15x P/E

Fair Value $89.07 36.8% upside ($89.07 - $65.12) / $65.12 = 36.8% $4.75 × 19x P/E

Bull Case $106.89 64.1% upside ($106.89 - $65.12) / $65.12 = 64.1% $4.75 × 23x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

18.9x

Adjusted EPS

4.75$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $86.38 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $89.07 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 38%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples