TMO - Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$597.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$650.00
LOW:
$520.00
MEDIAN:
$600.00
CONSENSUS:
$597.67
DOWNSIDE:
3.94%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
17.74$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
35.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $17.74, the base-case value is $266.10 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (43 analysts)
$597.67
Analyst Range
$520.00 – $650.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
55%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $597.67 (from 43 analysts). Our estimate is 55% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples