AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Teekay Corporation's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag TK as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Teekay Corporation's fair value?

Fair value for TK is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value TK?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from TK's most recent reported fundamentals.

TK - Teekay Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate

Trading 35.2% below fair value

Current Price $10.99

Bear Case $13.56 23.4% upside ($13.56 - $10.99) / $10.99 = 23.4% $1.13 × 12x P/E

Fair Value $16.95 54.2% upside ($16.95 - $10.99) / $10.99 = 54.2% $1.13 × 15x P/E

Bull Case $20.34 85.1% upside ($20.34 - $10.99) / $10.99 = 85.1% $1.13 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

15.0x

Adjusted EPS

1.13$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.13, the base-case value is $16.95 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 465% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples