Interface, Inc. logo TILE - Interface, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $45.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $45.00
LOW: $45.00
MEDIAN: $45.00
CONSENSUS: $45.00
UPSIDE: 16.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 23.0% above fair value
Current Price $38.58
Bear Case $27.44 28.9% downside ($27.44 - $38.58) / $38.58 = -28.9% $1.96 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $31.36 18.7% downside ($31.36 - $38.58) / $38.58 = -18.7% $1.96 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $35.28 8.6% downside ($35.28 - $38.58) / $38.58 = -8.6% $1.96 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.96$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.96, the base-case value is $31.36 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $45.00
Analyst Range $45.00 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 30%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $45.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 30% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples