THRM - Gentherm Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$47.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$59.00
LOW:
$34.00
MEDIAN:
$50.00
CONSENSUS:
$47.67
UPSIDE:
17.13%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.9x
1.46$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
27.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.46, the base-case value is $26.08 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (15 analysts)
$47.67
Analyst Range
$34.00 – $59.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
45%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 143%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $47.67 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples