The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. logo THG - The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 12
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $224.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $240.00
LOW: $203.00
MEDIAN: $227.50
CONSENSUS: $224.50
DOWNSIDE: 0.59%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 67.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for banks, insurers & asset managers businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
D+ 41.2

Scored using loss ratio — insurer-archetype substitution.

  • Loss Ratio 60.5% 63/100
  • Loss Ratio Trend +2.25 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 10.3 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B 70.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 10.7% 63/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -1.3% 82/100
Contributes 10.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
C 53.4

Scored using premium growth cross-checked against loss-ratio trend — insurer-archetype substitution.

  • 5yr Premium CAGR 6.4% 67/100
  • Loss Ratio Trend (growth quality check) +2.25 pp/yr 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 5.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
B 73.0

Scored using reserve development and loss-ratio stability — insurer-archetype substitution.

  • Reserve Development 1.6% 88/100
  • Loss Ratio Stability (σ) 0.34 51/100
Contributes 11.0 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 98.0

Scored using premiums-to-surplus — insurer-archetype substitution.

  • Premiums / Surplus 1.73x 97/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 20.53x 100/100
Contributes 24.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 10%
C 54.5
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.61 21/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 5.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

4 of 4 gurus held; 1 new buy; 2 added; 1 trimmed.

Holders
4 +1
Avg Δ position
+446.4%
New buys
1
Full exits
0
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — Loss Ratio, Loss Ratio Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Premium CAGR, Loss Ratio Trend (growth quality check), Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — Reserve Development, Loss Ratio Stability (σ)
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Premiums / Surplus, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int)
  • Stability (10%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.