Teleflex Incorporated logo TFX - Teleflex Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 13
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $155.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $170.00
LOW: $140.00
MEDIAN: $156.50
CONSENSUS: $155.25
UPSIDE: 18.52%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 16.0% above fair value
Current Price $130.99
Bear Case $90.36 31.0% downside ($90.36 - $130.99) / $130.99 = -31.0% $7.53 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $112.95 13.8% downside ($112.95 - $130.99) / $130.99 = -13.8% $7.53 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $135.54 3.5% upside ($135.54 - $130.99) / $130.99 = 3.5% $7.53 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
7.53$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.53, the base-case value is $112.95 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (29 analysts) $155.25
Analyst Range $140.00 – $170.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 27%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $155.25 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 27% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples