Teleflex Incorporated logo TFX - Teleflex Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 16
HOLD 12
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $146.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $160.00
LOW: $116.00
MEDIAN: $148.50
CONSENSUS: $146.50
UPSIDE: 9.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 10.3% above fair value
Current Price $133.79
Bear Case $97.07 27.4% downside ($97.07 - $133.79) / $133.79 = -27.4% $7.53 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $121.34 9.3% downside ($121.34 - $133.79) / $133.79 = -9.3% $7.53 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $145.60 8.8% upside ($145.60 - $133.79) / $133.79 = 8.8% $7.53 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
7.53$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $146.50 from 29 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $121.34 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples