Teleflex Incorporated logo TFX - Teleflex Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 13
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $140.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $155.00
LOW: $116.00
MEDIAN: $143.50
CONSENSUS: $140.50
UPSIDE: 5.84%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 10.8% above fair value
Current Price $132.75
Bear Case $95.87 27.8% downside ($95.87 - $132.75) / $132.75 = -27.8% $7.53 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $119.84 9.7% downside ($119.84 - $132.75) / $132.75 = -9.7% $7.53 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $143.81 8.3% upside ($143.81 - $132.75) / $132.75 = 8.3% $7.53 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
7.53$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $140.50 from 29 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $119.84 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples