TEX - Terex Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$82.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$92.00
LOW:
$70.00
MEDIAN:
$83.00
CONSENSUS:
$82.50
UPSIDE:
29.45%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
12.0%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
36%
Implied Market Multiple
21.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
11.9%
vs our 12.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $64.52 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (31 analysts)
$82.50
Analyst Range
$70.00 – $92.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
22%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions