Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited logo TEVA - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 21
HOLD 21
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $45.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $42.00
MEDIAN: $45.00
CONSENSUS: $45.80
UPSIDE: 11.25%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 145.1% above fair value
Current Price $41.17
Bear Case $14.40 65.0% downside ($14.40 - $41.17) / $41.17 = -65.0% $1.20 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $16.80 59.2% downside ($16.80 - $41.17) / $41.17 = -59.2% $1.20 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $19.20 53.4% downside ($19.20 - $41.17) / $41.17 = -53.4% $1.20 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
1.2$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 34.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.20, the base-case value is $16.80 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (46 analysts) $45.80
Analyst Range $42.00 – $50.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 63%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $45.80 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 63% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples