TEVA - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$45.80
DETAILS
HIGH:
$50.00
LOW:
$42.00
MEDIAN:
$45.00
CONSENSUS:
$45.80
UPSIDE:
11.25%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
1.2$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
34.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.20, the base-case value is $16.80 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (46 analysts)
$45.80
Analyst Range
$42.00 – $50.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
63%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $45.80 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 63% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples