Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited logo TEVA - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 20
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $41.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $42.00
LOW: $40.00
MEDIAN: $41.00
CONSENSUS: $41.00
UPSIDE: 27.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 16.1% above fair value
Current Price $32.18
Bear Case $23.74 26.2% downside ($23.74 - $32.18) / $32.18 = -26.2% $1.57 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $27.71 13.9% downside ($27.71 - $32.18) / $32.18 = -13.9% $1.57 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $31.66 1.6% downside ($31.66 - $32.18) / $32.18 = -1.6% $1.57 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
1.57$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $41.00 from 46 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $27.71 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 31%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $41.00 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 46% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples