TECK - Teck Resources Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$64.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$67.00
LOW:
$62.00
MEDIAN:
$64.50
CONSENSUS:
$64.50
UPSIDE:
2.94%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
3.33$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
18.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $64.50 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $53.59 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 63%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Financial statements were converted from CAD into USD using USDCAD at 0.7240 USD per CAD.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples