Teledyne Technologies Incorporated logo TDY - Teledyne Technologies Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $697.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $830.00
LOW: $465.00
MEDIAN: $737.50
CONSENSUS: $697.50
UPSIDE: 12.75%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 10.5% below fair value
Current Price $618.60
Bear Case $428.01 30.8% downside ($428.01 - $618.60) / $618.60 = -30.8% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $691.34 11.8% upside ($691.34 - $618.60) / $618.60 = 11.8% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $982.24 58.8% upside ($982.24 - $618.60) / $618.60 = 58.8% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 27.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.3% vs our 14.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $691.34 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (18 analysts) $697.50
Analyst Range $465.00 – $830.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions