Teledyne Technologies Incorporated logo TDY - Teledyne Technologies Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 12
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $713.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $775.00
LOW: $614.00
MEDIAN: $750.00
CONSENSUS: $713.00
UPSIDE: 13.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 4.5% below fair value
Current Price $628.71
Bear Case $406.14 35.4% downside ($406.14 - $628.71) / $628.71 = -35.4% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $658.20 4.7% upside ($658.20 - $628.71) / $628.71 = 4.7% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $936.66 49.0% upside ($936.66 - $628.71) / $628.71 = 49.0% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 30.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $713.00 from 18 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $658.20 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions