Teledyne Technologies Incorporated logo TDY - Teledyne Technologies Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $695.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $830.00
LOW: $465.00
MEDIAN: $732.50
CONSENSUS: $695.83
UPSIDE: 13.98%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.3% below fair value
Current Price $612.93
Bear Case $428.02 30.2% downside ($428.02 - $612.93) / $612.93 = -30.2% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $691.36 12.8% upside ($691.36 - $612.93) / $612.93 = 12.8% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $982.27 60.3% upside ($982.27 - $612.93) / $612.93 = 60.3% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 27.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.2% vs our 14.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $691.36 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (18 analysts) $695.83
Analyst Range $465.00 – $830.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions