Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. logo TDS - Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $51.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $16.00
CONSENSUS: $27.67
DOWNSIDE: 26.86%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 2703.5% above fair value
Current Price $37.83
Bear Case $1.08 97.1% downside ($1.08 - $37.83) / $37.83 = -97.1% $0.09 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $1.35 96.4% downside ($1.35 - $37.83) / $37.83 = -96.4% $0.09 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $1.62 95.7% downside ($1.62 - $37.83) / $37.83 = -95.7% $0.09 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.09$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 420.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.09, the base-case value is $1.35 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (7 analysts) $27.67
Analyst Range $16.00 – $51.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 95%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $27.67 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 95% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples