Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. logo TDS - Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $51.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $16.00
CONSENSUS: $27.67
DOWNSIDE: 18.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 6.9% above fair value
Current Price $33.83
Bear Case $25.31 25.2% downside ($25.31 - $33.83) / $33.83 = -25.2% $2.18 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $31.65 6.5% downside ($31.65 - $33.83) / $33.83 = -6.5% $2.18 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $37.98 12.3% upside ($37.98 - $33.83) / $33.83 = 12.3% $2.18 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.18$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $27.67 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.65 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples