Taboola.com Ltd. logo TBLA - Taboola.com Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $5.55 DETAILS
HIGH: $9.00
LOW: $2.25
MEDIAN: $6.00
CONSENSUS: $5.55
UPSIDE: 12.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.0% below fair value
Current Price $4.92
Bear Case $5.33 8.4% upside ($5.33 - $4.92) / $4.92 = 8.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $7.13 45.0% upside ($7.13 - $4.92) / $4.92 = 45.0% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $8.88 80.4% upside ($8.88 - $4.92) / $4.92 = 80.4% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.7%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 12.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $5.55 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $7.13 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 151% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $5.55 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 36% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions