Turtle Beach Corporation logo TBCH - Turtle Beach Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $15.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $15.00
MEDIAN: $15.00
CONSENSUS: $15.00
UPSIDE: 21.07%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.3% below fair value
Current Price $12.39
Bear Case $16.74 35.1% upside ($16.74 - $12.39) / $12.39 = 35.1% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $21.10 70.3% upside ($21.10 - $12.39) / $12.39 = 70.3% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $25.06 102.2% upside ($25.06 - $12.39) / $12.39 = 102.2% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 32%
Implied Market Multiple 9.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $15.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $21.10 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $15.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 51% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions