Turtle Beach Corporation logo TBCH - Turtle Beach Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $16.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $18.00
LOW: $15.00
MEDIAN: $16.50
CONSENSUS: $16.50
UPSIDE: 6.25%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 46.3% below fair value
Current Price $15.53
Bear Case $23.03 48.3% upside ($23.03 - $15.53) / $15.53 = 48.3% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $28.91 86.1% upside ($28.91 - $15.53) / $15.53 = 86.1% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $34.22 120.3% upside ($34.22 - $15.53) / $15.53 = 120.3% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 32%
Implied Market Multiple 9.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) -0.6% vs our 7.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 7% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $28.91 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $16.50
Analyst Range $15.00 – $18.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 75%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 39% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $16.50 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 75% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions