The Bancorp, Inc. logo TBBK - The Bancorp, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 6
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $64.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $75.00
LOW: $53.00
MEDIAN: $64.00
CONSENSUS: $64.00
UPSIDE: 30.61%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 36.2% below fair value
Current Price $49.00
Bear Case $53.75 9.7% upside ($53.75 - $49.00) / $49.00 = 9.7% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.22x TBV
Fair Value $76.78 56.7% upside ($76.78 - $49.00) / $49.00 = 56.7% ROTCE 25.0% → 2.92x TBV
Bull Case $99.81 103.7% upside ($99.81 - $49.00) / $49.00 = 103.7% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.61x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

33.1%
11.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (33.1%) vs. cost of equity (11.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.9x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 33.1% vs. 11.2% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.92x on $16.89 tangible book, implying $76.78 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (7 analysts) $64.00
Analyst Range $53.00 – $75.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 20%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly