The Bancorp, Inc. logo TBBK - The Bancorp, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 5
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $58.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $60.00
LOW: $57.00
MEDIAN: $57.00
CONSENSUS: $58.00
UPSIDE: 4.84%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 24.2% below fair value
Current Price $55.32
Bear Case $51.12 7.6% downside ($51.12 - $55.32) / $55.32 = -7.6% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.21x TBV
Fair Value $73.02 32.0% upside ($73.02 - $55.32) / $55.32 = 32.0% ROTCE 25.0% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $94.93 71.6% upside ($94.93 - $55.32) / $55.32 = 71.6% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.59x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

33.1%
11.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (33.1%) vs. cost of equity (11.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 3.34x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $58.00 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $73.02 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $58.00 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 32% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly