TBBK - The Bancorp, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$87.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$88.00
LOW:
$86.00
MEDIAN:
$87.00
CONSENSUS:
$87.00
UPSIDE:
32.42%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
33.1%
10.9%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (33.1%) vs. cost of equity (10.9%)
Implied Market Multiple
3.97x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 33.1% vs. 10.9% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.06x on $16.55 tangible book, implying $76.78 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (7 analysts)
$87.00
Analyst Range
$86.00 – $88.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
12%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly