Talkspace, Inc. logo TALK - Talkspace, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $5.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $5.25
LOW: $5.25
MEDIAN: $5.25
CONSENSUS: $5.25
UPSIDE: 0.00%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 483.3% above fair value
Current Price $5.25
Bear Case $0.72 86.3% downside ($0.72 - $5.25) / $5.25 = -86.3% $0.04 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $0.90 82.9% downside ($0.90 - $5.25) / $5.25 = -82.9% $0.04 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $1.08 79.4% downside ($1.08 - $5.25) / $5.25 = -79.4% $0.04 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
0.04$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 131.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.04, the base-case value is $0.90 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (10 analysts) $5.25
Analyst Range $5.25 – $5.25
Divergence from AlphaVal 83%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $5.25 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 83% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples