AT&T Inc. logo T-PC - AT&T Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 25
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 63.7% below fair value
Current Price $17.12
Bear Case $37.71 120.3% upside ($37.71 - $17.12) / $17.12 = 120.3% $3.10 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $47.13 175.3% upside ($47.13 - $17.12) / $17.12 = 175.3% $3.10 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $56.56 230.4% upside ($56.56 - $17.12) / $17.12 = 230.4% $3.10 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.2x
3.1$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 5.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.10, the base-case value is $47.13 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples