SYY - Sysco Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$90.44
DETAILS
HIGH:
$100.00
LOW:
$83.00
MEDIAN:
$92.00
CONSENSUS:
$90.44
UPSIDE:
18.55%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.8x
3.9$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $90.44 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $75.87 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $41.99 (below our primary estimate by 40%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples