Sysco Corporation logo SYY - Sysco Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 9
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $90.44 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $83.00
MEDIAN: $92.00
CONSENSUS: $90.44
UPSIDE: 7.89%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 10.5% above fair value
Current Price $83.83
Bear Case $62.47 25.5% downside ($62.47 - $83.83) / $83.83 = -25.5% $3.90 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $75.87 9.5% downside ($75.87 - $83.83) / $83.83 = -9.5% $3.90 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $89.26 6.5% upside ($89.26 - $83.83) / $83.83 = 6.5% $3.90 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.8x
3.9$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 21.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $90.44 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $75.87 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $41.99 (below our primary estimate by 40%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples