SYY - Sysco Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$85.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$90.00
LOW:
$84.00
MEDIAN:
$84.50
CONSENSUS:
$85.75
UPSIDE:
8.54%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.1x
3.66$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 19x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.66, the base-case value is $70.03 per share. DDM cross-check: $41.20.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (30 analysts)
$85.75
Analyst Range
$84.00 – $90.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
18%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $41.20 (below our primary estimate by 41%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples