Stryker Corporation logo SYK - Stryker Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 37
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $381.59 DETAILS
HIGH: $465.00
LOW: $315.00
MEDIAN: $375.00
CONSENSUS: $381.59
UPSIDE: 20.11%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 21.7% above fair value
Current Price $317.71
Bear Case $173.85 45.3% downside ($173.85 - $317.71) / $317.71 = -45.3% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $261.01 17.8% downside ($261.01 - $317.71) / $317.71 = -17.8% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $350.74 10.4% upside ($350.74 - $317.71) / $317.71 = 10.4% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 29.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 14.2% vs our 11.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $261.01 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (52 analysts) $381.59
Analyst Range $315.00 – $465.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 32%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $381.59 (from 52 analysts). Our estimate is 32% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions