Stryker Corporation logo SYK - Stryker Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 37
HOLD 13
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $381.79 DETAILS
HIGH: $465.00
LOW: $315.00
MEDIAN: $378.00
CONSENSUS: $381.79
UPSIDE: 22.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 9.2% above fair value
Current Price $311.07
Bear Case $188.55 39.4% downside ($188.55 - $311.07) / $311.07 = -39.4% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $284.97 8.4% downside ($284.97 - $311.07) / $311.07 = -8.4% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $384.21 23.5% upside ($384.21 - $311.07) / $311.07 = 23.5% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 32.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 15.3% vs our 11.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $381.79 from 51 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $284.97 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $381.79 (from 51 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions