Stryker Corporation logo SYK - Stryker Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 35
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $385.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $465.00
LOW: $315.00
MEDIAN: $389.50
CONSENSUS: $385.83
UPSIDE: 21.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 9.5% above fair value
Current Price $316.48
Bear Case $192.78 39.1% downside ($192.78 - $316.48) / $316.48 = -39.1% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $288.92 8.7% downside ($288.92 - $316.48) / $316.48 = -8.7% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $387.89 22.6% upside ($387.89 - $316.48) / $316.48 = 22.6% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 32.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $385.83 from 50 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $288.92 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $385.83 (from 50 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions