SYK - Stryker Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$381.79
DETAILS
HIGH:
$465.00
LOW:
$315.00
MEDIAN:
$378.00
CONSENSUS:
$381.79
UPSIDE:
22.73%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.8%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
32.1x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.3%
vs our 11.8% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $381.79 from 51 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $284.97 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $381.79 (from 51 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions