SYK - Stryker Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$381.59
DETAILS
HIGH:
$465.00
LOW:
$315.00
MEDIAN:
$375.00
CONSENSUS:
$381.59
UPSIDE:
20.11%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.8%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
29.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
14.2%
vs our 11.8% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $261.01 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (52 analysts)
$381.59
Analyst Range
$315.00 – $465.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
32%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $381.59 (from 52 analysts). Our estimate is 32% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions