Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. logo SYBT - Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $76.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $78.00
LOW: $75.00
MEDIAN: $76.50
CONSENSUS: $76.50
UPSIDE: 7.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 14.7% below fair value
Current Price $71.22
Bear Case $55.83 21.6% downside ($55.83 - $71.22) / $71.22 = -21.6% ROTCE 12.2% → 1.96x TBV
Fair Value $83.48 17.2% upside ($83.48 - $71.22) / $71.22 = 17.2% ROTCE 16.3% → 2.93x TBV
Bull Case $100.08 40.5% upside ($100.08 - $71.22) / $71.22 = 40.5% ROTCE 18.8% → 3.51x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

16.3%
8.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (16.3%) vs. cost of equity (8.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.45x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $76.50 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $83.48 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $23.91 (72% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly