Sensient Technologies Corporation logo SXT - Sensient Technologies Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $143.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $143.00
LOW: $143.00
MEDIAN: $143.00
CONSENSUS: $143.00
UPSIDE: 24.96%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 71.5% above fair value
Current Price $114.44
Bear Case $53.39 53.3% downside ($53.39 - $114.44) / $114.44 = -53.3% $3.18 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $66.74 41.7% downside ($66.74 - $114.44) / $114.44 = -41.7% $3.18 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $80.08 30.0% downside ($80.08 - $114.44) / $114.44 = -30.0% $3.18 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.18$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 36.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $143.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $66.74 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $23.66 (below our primary estimate by 50%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $143.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples