Standex International Corporation logo SXI - Standex International Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $304.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $323.00
LOW: $286.00
MEDIAN: $304.50
CONSENSUS: $304.50
UPSIDE: 19.03%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 265.3% above fair value
Current Price $255.82
Bear Case $22.09 91.4% downside ($22.09 - $255.82) / $255.82 = -91.4% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $70.03 72.6% downside ($70.03 - $255.82) / $255.82 = -72.6% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $111.76 56.3% downside ($111.76 - $255.82) / $255.82 = -56.3% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 87.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $304.50 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $70.03 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $304.50 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 96% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions