Standex International Corporation logo SXI - Standex International Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $304.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $323.00
LOW: $286.00
MEDIAN: $304.50
CONSENSUS: $304.50
DOWNSIDE: 3.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 350.6% above fair value
Current Price $315.58
Bear Case $22.09 93.0% downside ($22.09 - $315.58) / $315.58 = -93.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $70.03 77.8% downside ($70.03 - $315.58) / $315.58 = -77.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $111.76 64.6% downside ($111.76 - $315.58) / $315.58 = -64.6% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 104.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 31.1% vs our 5.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $304.50 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $70.03 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $304.50 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 96% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions