Skyworks Solutions, Inc. logo SWKS - Skyworks Solutions, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 36
HOLD 22
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $72.30 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $55.00
MEDIAN: $75.00
CONSENSUS: $72.30
DOWNSIDE: 0.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 19.3% below fair value
Current Price $72.45
Bear Case $67.61 6.7% downside ($67.61 - $72.45) / $72.45 = -6.7% $6.13 × 12x + net cash
Fair Value $89.80 23.9% upside ($89.80 - $72.45) / $72.45 = 23.9% $6.13 × 16x + net cash
Bull Case $111.99 54.6% upside ($111.99 - $72.45) / $72.45 = 54.6% $6.13 × 20x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
6.13$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($6.13)

Implied Market Multiple 11.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $72.30 from 60 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $89.80 per share.

Warnings

Price-to-book value of 3.9x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $72.30 (from 60 analysts). Our estimate is 37% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
  • 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
  • Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing