AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag SWBI as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for SWBI is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value SWBI?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from SWBI's most recent reported fundamentals.

SWBI - Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $16.50 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 47.1% below fair value

Current Price $14.86

Bear Case $22.89 54.0% upside ($22.89 - $14.86) / $14.86 = 54.0% $1.30 × 18x + net cash

Fair Value $28.07 88.9% upside ($28.07 - $14.86) / $14.86 = 88.9% $1.30 × 22x + net cash

Bull Case $33.25 123.8% upside ($33.25 - $14.86) / $14.86 = 123.8% $1.30 × 26x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

Cycle P/E Multiple

22.0x

Normalized EPS

1.3$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($1.30)

Implied Market Multiple 11.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Using 7-year normalized EPS of $1.30 at a 22x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $28.07 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 1.9x.

Key Risks

Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing