Smurfit Westrock plc logo SW - Smurfit Westrock plc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $71.38 DETAILS
HIGH: $170.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $57.00
CONSENSUS: $71.38
UPSIDE: 45.29%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C- 48.6 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
D 38.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 7.8% 49/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.36 pp/yr 13/100
Contributes 9.5 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
D+ 40.7
  • 5yr Avg ROE 10.5% 63/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 15.9% 0/100
Contributes 6.1 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
C+ 61.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 29.6% 100/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -13.0% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 15.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
C+ 57.5
  • 5yr FCF Margin 3.6% 43/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.76x 75/100
Contributes 11.5 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
D 33.4
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 3.48x 40/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 2.14x 31/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.36 24/100
Contributes 3.3 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
C+ 59.4
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.40 43/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 3.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

4 of 4 gurus held; 1 new buy; 1 added; 2 trimmed; 2 full exits.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
-28.3%
New buys
1
Full exits
2
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.