Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc. logo SUNS - Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $15.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $16.00
LOW: $14.50
MEDIAN: $15.25
CONSENSUS: $15.25
UPSIDE: 83.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 60.1% below fair value
Current Price $8.30
Bear Case $17.51 111.0% upside ($17.51 - $8.30) / $8.30 = 111.0% $0.90 FFO × 21x
Fair Value $20.80 150.6% upside ($20.80 - $8.30) / $8.30 = 150.6% $0.90 FFO × 25x
Bull Case $24.08 190.2% upside ($24.08 - $8.30) / $8.30 = 190.2% $0.90 FFO × 29x

Adjust Assumptions

24.7x
0.9$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($0.90) × residential P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 9.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $15.25 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $20.80 per share.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 14.5% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Wall Street's average price target is $15.25 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 46% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify