Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc. logo SUNS - Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $9.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $9.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $9.00
CONSENSUS: $9.00
UPSIDE: 40.85%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 67.8% below fair value
Current Price $6.39
Bear Case $16.35 155.9% upside ($16.35 - $6.39) / $6.39 = 155.9% $0.90 FFO × 18x
Fair Value $19.85 210.7% upside ($19.85 - $6.39) / $6.39 = 210.7% $0.90 FFO × 22x
Bull Case $23.36 265.5% upside ($23.36 - $6.39) / $6.39 = 265.5% $0.90 FFO × 26x

Adjust Assumptions

22.1x
0.9$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($0.90) × default P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 7.1x

Plain-Language Summary

At $0.90 FFO/share with a 22x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $19.85 per share. Dividend yield: 18.8%. DDM cross-check: $22.36.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $9.00
Analyst Range $9.00 – $9.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 121%

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
⚠ Dividend yield of 18.8% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $9.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 121% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify