Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc logo SUNB - Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 1
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $86.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $97.00
LOW: $71.00
MEDIAN: $90.00
CONSENSUS: $86.83
UPSIDE: 9.79%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 66.3% above fair value
Current Price $79.09
Bear Case $38.04 51.9% downside ($38.04 - $79.09) / $79.09 = -51.9% $3.17 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $47.55 39.9% downside ($47.55 - $79.09) / $79.09 = -39.9% $3.17 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $57.06 27.9% downside ($57.06 - $79.09) / $79.09 = -27.9% $3.17 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.17$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 24.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.17, the base-case value is $47.55 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (7 analysts) $86.83
Analyst Range $71.00 – $97.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 45%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $86.83 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples