SUNB - Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$86.83
DETAILS
HIGH:
$97.00
LOW:
$71.00
MEDIAN:
$90.00
CONSENSUS:
$86.83
UPSIDE:
9.79%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
3.17$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
24.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.17, the base-case value is $47.55 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (7 analysts)
$86.83
Analyst Range
$71.00 – $97.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
45%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $86.83 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples