Strategy Inc logo STRC - Strategy Inc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 0
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $252.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $252.00
LOW: $252.00
MEDIAN: $252.00
CONSENSUS: $252.00
UPSIDE: 182.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 391.7% above fair value
Current Price $89.20
Bear Case $15.19 83.0% downside ($15.19 - $89.20) / $89.20 = -83.0% $0.56 × 27x P/E
Fair Value $18.14 79.7% downside ($18.14 - $89.20) / $89.20 = -79.7% $0.56 × 32x P/E
Bull Case $21.09 76.4% downside ($21.09 - $89.20) / $89.20 = -76.4% $0.56 × 38x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

32.2x
0.56$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 158.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 32x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.56, the base-case value is $18.14 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples