StepStone Group Inc. logo STEP - StepStone Group Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $66.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $55.00
MEDIAN: $62.00
CONSENSUS: $66.80
UPSIDE: 24.30%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.0% below fair value
Current Price $53.74
Bear Case $41.32 23.1% downside ($41.32 - $53.74) / $53.74 = -23.1% ROTCE 4.0% → 0.30x TBV
Fair Value $59.02 9.8% upside ($59.02 - $53.74) / $53.74 = 9.8% ROTCE 0.0% → 0.30x TBV
Bull Case $76.73 42.8% upside ($76.73 - $53.74) / $53.74 = 42.8% ROTCE 0.0% → 0.30x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

0.0%
11.6%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (0.0%) vs. cost of equity (11.6%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.88x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $66.80 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $59.02 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (0.0%) is below the minimum investors require (11.6%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly