STEP - StepStone Group Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$65.17
DETAILS
HIGH:
$85.00
LOW:
$56.00
MEDIAN:
$61.50
CONSENSUS:
$65.17
UPSIDE:
30.94%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
0.0%
11.2%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (0.0%) vs. cost of equity (11.2%)
Implied Market Multiple
6.24x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 0.0% vs. 11.2% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.30x on $7.98 tangible book, implying $15.96 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$65.17
Analyst Range
$56.00 – $85.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
76%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (0.0%) is below the minimum investors require (11.2%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Wall Street's average price target is $65.17 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 76% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly