STERIS plc logo STE - STERIS plc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $271.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $275.00
LOW: $269.00
MEDIAN: $270.00
CONSENSUS: $271.33
UPSIDE: 14.07%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 32.9% above fair value
Current Price $237.87
Bear Case $134.34 43.5% downside ($134.34 - $237.87) / $237.87 = -43.5% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $178.98 24.8% downside ($178.98 - $237.87) / $237.87 = -24.8% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $221.41 6.9% downside ($221.41 - $237.87) / $237.87 = -6.9% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 25.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 12.3% vs our 8.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $178.98 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $271.33
Analyst Range $269.00 – $275.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 34%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $271.33 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions