STAA - STAAR Surgical Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$31.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$40.00
LOW:
$27.00
MEDIAN:
$31.50
CONSENSUS:
$31.50
UPSIDE:
42.47%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
0.43$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
51.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.43, the base-case value is $6.45 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$31.50
Analyst Range
$27.00 – $40.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
80%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $31.50 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 80% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples