SSTK - Shutterstock, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$67.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$90.00
LOW:
$55.00
MEDIAN:
$56.00
CONSENSUS:
$67.00
UPSIDE:
1022.28%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
75% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
8.8%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (9% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
38%
Implied Market Multiple
4.1x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-14.3%
vs our 8.8% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $43.61 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (20 analysts)
$67.00
Analyst Range
$55.00 – $90.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
35%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 134% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $67.00 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 35% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions