SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. logo SSNC - SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 16
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $89.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $99.00
LOW: $78.00
MEDIAN: $91.00
CONSENSUS: $89.67
UPSIDE: 7.49%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.1% below fair value
Current Price $83.42
Bear Case $98.46 18.0% upside ($98.46 - $83.42) / $83.42 = 18.0% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $121.04 45.1% upside ($121.04 - $83.42) / $83.42 = 45.1% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $141.03 69.1% upside ($141.03 - $83.42) / $83.42 = 69.1% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 11.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 1.7% vs our 6.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $121.04 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $89.67
Analyst Range $78.00 – $99.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 35%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $89.67 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 35% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions