SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. logo SSNC - SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 16
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $94.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $115.00
LOW: $78.00
MEDIAN: $92.00
CONSENSUS: $94.20
UPSIDE: 40.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 42.4% below fair value
Current Price $67.04
Bear Case $84.74 26.4% upside ($84.74 - $67.04) / $67.04 = 26.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $116.33 73.5% upside ($116.33 - $67.04) / $67.04 = 73.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $146.73 118.9% upside ($146.73 - $67.04) / $67.04 = 118.9% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 12.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $94.20 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $116.33 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $94.20 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 31% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions