SouthState Bank Corp. logo SSB - SouthState Bank Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 13
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $117.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $125.00
LOW: $108.00
MEDIAN: $118.00
CONSENSUS: $117.50
UPSIDE: 8.82%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 23.2% below fair value
Current Price $107.98
Bear Case $91.81 15.0% downside ($91.81 - $107.98) / $107.98 = -15.0% ROTCE 10.7% → 1.60x TBV
Fair Value $140.59 30.2% upside ($140.59 - $107.98) / $107.98 = 30.2% ROTCE 14.3% → 2.44x TBV
Bull Case $169.85 57.3% upside ($169.85 - $107.98) / $107.98 = 57.3% ROTCE 16.5% → 2.95x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

14.3%
8.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (14.3%) vs. cost of equity (8.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.88x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 14.3% vs. 8.2% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.44x on $57.53 tangible book, implying $140.59 per share. DDM cross-check: $69.91.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (20 analysts) $117.50
Analyst Range $108.00 – $125.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 20%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $69.91 (50% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly