SouthState Bank Corp. logo SSB - SouthState Bank Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 13
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $115.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $120.00
LOW: $108.00
MEDIAN: $118.50
CONSENSUS: $115.50
UPSIDE: 12.93%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 24.8% below fair value
Current Price $102.28
Bear Case $88.77 13.2% downside ($88.77 - $102.28) / $102.28 = -13.2% ROTCE 10.7% → 1.63x TBV
Fair Value $135.94 32.9% upside ($135.94 - $102.28) / $102.28 = 32.9% ROTCE 14.3% → 2.50x TBV
Bull Case $164.23 60.6% upside ($164.23 - $102.28) / $102.28 = 60.6% ROTCE 16.5% → 3.02x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

14.3%
8.1%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (14.3%) vs. cost of equity (8.1%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.79x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $115.50 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $135.94 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $62.57 (56% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly