SouthState Corporation logo SSB - SouthState Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 13
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $118.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $123.00
LOW: $108.00
MEDIAN: $120.00
CONSENSUS: $118.20
UPSIDE: 24.95%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 29.2% below fair value
Current Price $94.60
Bear Case $87.23 7.8% downside ($87.23 - $94.60) / $94.60 = -7.8% ROTCE 10.7% → 1.59x TBV
Fair Value $133.56 41.2% upside ($133.56 - $94.60) / $94.60 = 41.2% ROTCE 14.3% → 2.43x TBV
Bull Case $161.36 70.6% upside ($161.36 - $94.60) / $94.60 = 70.6% ROTCE 16.5% → 2.93x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

14.3%
8.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (14.3%) vs. cost of equity (8.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.66x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $118.20 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $133.56 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $60.73 (56% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly