SouthState Bank Corp. logo SSB - SouthState Bank Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 13
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $117.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $125.00
LOW: $108.00
MEDIAN: $118.00
CONSENSUS: $117.00
UPSIDE: 15.65%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 22.2% below fair value
Current Price $101.17
Bear Case $84.95 16.0% downside ($84.95 - $101.17) / $101.17 = -16.0% ROTCE 10.7% → 1.48x TBV
Fair Value $130.08 28.6% upside ($130.08 - $101.17) / $101.17 = 28.6% ROTCE 14.3% → 2.26x TBV
Bull Case $157.15 55.3% upside ($157.15 - $101.17) / $101.17 = 55.3% ROTCE 16.5% → 2.73x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

14.3%
8.6%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (14.3%) vs. cost of equity (8.6%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.76x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 14.3% vs. 8.6% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.26x on $57.53 tangible book, implying $130.08 per share. DDM cross-check: $63.98.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (20 analysts) $117.00
Analyst Range $108.00 – $125.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 11%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $63.98 (51% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly