Block, Inc. logo SQ - Block, Inc.

Inactive Ticker SQ is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 55
HOLD 17
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $94.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $82.00
MEDIAN: $100.00
CONSENSUS: $94.00
UPSIDE: 12.63%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.0% below fair value
Current Price $83.46
Bear Case $69.06 17.2% downside ($69.06 - $83.46) / $83.46 = -17.2% 12% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $114.33 37.0% upside ($114.33 - $83.46) / $83.46 = 37.0% 21% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $171.54 105.5% upside ($171.54 - $83.46) / $83.46 = 105.5% 27% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.6%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (21% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 28.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 15.5% vs our 20.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 21% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $114.33 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (75 analysts) $94.00
Analyst Range $82.00 – $100.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 22%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions