SPX Technologies, Inc. logo SPXC - SPX Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $252.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $261.00
LOW: $243.00
MEDIAN: $252.00
CONSENSUS: $252.00
UPSIDE: 21.27%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 80.8% above fair value
Current Price $207.80
Bear Case $85.54 58.8% downside ($85.54 - $207.80) / $207.80 = -58.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $114.94 44.7% downside ($114.94 - $207.80) / $207.80 = -44.7% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $143.59 30.9% downside ($143.59 - $207.80) / $207.80 = -30.9% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.9%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 47.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $252.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $114.94 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $252.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 68% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions