SPOK - Spok Holdings, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$15.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$15.00
LOW:
$15.00
MEDIAN:
$15.00
CONSENSUS:
$15.00
UPSIDE:
36.86%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
12.5x
0.75$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (12x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
14.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 12x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.75, the base-case value is $9.38 per share. DDM cross-check: $212.89.
Warnings
The company pays out 167% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $212.89 (above our primary estimate by 2171%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples