Sapiens International Corporation N.V. logo SPNS - Sapiens International Corporation N.V.

Inactive Ticker SPNS is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $38.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $38.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $38.00
CONSENSUS: $38.00
DOWNSIDE: 12.54%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 70% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 17.1% above fair value
Current Price $43.45
Bear Case $25.93 40.3% downside ($25.93 - $43.45) / $43.45 = -40.3% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $37.12 14.6% downside ($37.12 - $43.45) / $43.45 = -14.6% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $49.02 12.8% upside ($49.02 - $43.45) / $43.45 = 12.8% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 32.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 15.4% vs our 13.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $37.12 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (10 analysts) $38.00
Analyst Range $38.00 – $38.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 2%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions