SPNS - Sapiens International Corporation N.V.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$38.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$38.00
LOW:
$38.00
MEDIAN:
$38.00
CONSENSUS:
$38.00
DOWNSIDE:
12.54%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
70% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
13.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (13% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
41%
Implied Market Multiple
32.4x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.4%
vs our 13.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $37.12 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (10 analysts)
$38.00
Analyst Range
$38.00 – $38.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
2%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions