SM Prime Holdings, Inc. logo SPHXF - SM Prime Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- --
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 60% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 43.1% below fair value
Current Price $0.27
Bear Case $0.38 40.6% upside ($0.38 - $0.27) / $0.27 = 40.6% $0.03 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $0.47 75.8% upside ($0.47 - $0.27) / $0.27 = 75.8% $0.03 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $0.56 110.9% upside ($0.56 - $0.27) / $0.27 = 110.9% $0.03 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.6x
0.03$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.03, the base-case value is $0.47 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 96% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Financial statements were converted from PHP into USD using USDPHP at 0.0157 USD per PHP.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples