Sanofi logo SNYNF - Sanofi

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 9
SELL 3
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.6% below fair value
Current Price $81.65
Bear Case $85.99 5.3% upside ($85.99 - $81.65) / $81.65 = 5.3% $7.17 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $100.33 22.9% upside ($100.33 - $81.65) / $81.65 = 22.9% $7.17 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $114.66 40.4% upside ($114.66 - $81.65) / $81.65 = 40.4% $7.17 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
7.17$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.17, the base-case value is $100.33 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 253% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1197 USD per EUR.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples