SNY - Sanofi
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$49.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$50.00
LOW:
$49.00
MEDIAN:
$49.50
CONSENSUS:
$49.50
UPSIDE:
9.32%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
4.66$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
9.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $49.50 from 27 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $61.34 per share.
Warnings
The company pays out 235% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $49.50 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 32% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1387 USD per EUR.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples