SNY - Sanofi
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$49.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$50.00
LOW:
$49.00
MEDIAN:
$49.50
CONSENSUS:
$49.50
UPSIDE:
16.53%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
3.68$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
11.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.68, the base-case value is $51.46 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (27 analysts)
$49.50
Analyst Range
$49.00 – $50.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
4%
Warnings
The company pays out 233% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1486 USD per EUR.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples