SNX - TD SYNNEX Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$195.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$265.00
LOW:
$163.00
MEDIAN:
$176.00
CONSENSUS:
$195.00
DOWNSIDE:
19.58%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
13.4%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (13% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
37%
Implied Market Multiple
16.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $195.00 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $329.03 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $195.00 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 92% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions