TD Synnex Corp logo SNX - TD Synnex Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 18
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $336.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $379.00
LOW: $287.00
MEDIAN: $335.00
CONSENSUS: $336.67
UPSIDE: 35.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 53.9% below fair value
Current Price $248.21
Bear Case $334.27 34.7% upside ($334.27 - $248.21) / $248.21 = 34.7% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $538.85 117.1% upside ($538.85 - $248.21) / $248.21 = 117.1% 15% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $767.55 209.2% upside ($767.55 - $248.21) / $248.21 = 209.2% 20% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

15.4%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 13.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 5.4% vs our 15.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $538.85 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $336.67
Analyst Range $287.00 – $379.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 60%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $336.67 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 60% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions