TD SYNNEX Corporation logo SNX - TD SYNNEX Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 17
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $195.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $265.00
LOW: $163.00
MEDIAN: $176.00
CONSENSUS: $195.00
DOWNSIDE: 19.58%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 26.3% below fair value
Current Price $242.47
Bear Case $215.42 11.2% downside ($215.42 - $242.47) / $242.47 = -11.2% 8% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $329.03 35.7% upside ($329.03 - $242.47) / $242.47 = 35.7% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $449.98 85.6% upside ($449.98 - $242.47) / $242.47 = 85.6% 17% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.4%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 16.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $195.00 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $329.03 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $195.00 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 92% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions