TD Synnex Corp logo SNX - TD Synnex Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 18
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $333.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $374.00
LOW: $278.00
MEDIAN: $335.00
CONSENSUS: $333.17
UPSIDE: 35.07%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 40.3% below fair value
Current Price $246.66
Bear Case $254.81 3.3% upside ($254.81 - $246.66) / $246.66 = 3.3% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $413.46 67.6% upside ($413.46 - $246.66) / $246.66 = 67.6% 15% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $590.81 139.5% upside ($590.81 - $246.66) / $246.66 = 139.5% 20% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

15.4%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 16.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.0% vs our 15.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $333.17 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $413.46 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $333.17 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 32% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions