TD Synnex Corp logo SNX - TD Synnex Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 18
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $333.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $374.00
LOW: $278.00
MEDIAN: $335.00
CONSENSUS: $333.17
UPSIDE: 26.85%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 51.1% below fair value
Current Price $262.64
Bear Case $333.51 27.0% upside ($333.51 - $262.64) / $262.64 = 27.0% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $537.63 104.7% upside ($537.63 - $262.64) / $262.64 = 104.7% 15% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $765.81 191.6% upside ($765.81 - $262.64) / $262.64 = 191.6% 20% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

15.4%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 14.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 6.2% vs our 15.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $537.63 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $333.17
Analyst Range $278.00 – $374.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 61%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $333.17 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 61% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions