Synovus Financial Corp. logo SNV - Synovus Financial Corp.

Inactive Ticker SNV is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $54.77 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $40.00
MEDIAN: $55.00
CONSENSUS: $54.77
UPSIDE: 9.43%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.0% below fair value
Current Price $50.05
Bear Case $38.49 23.1% downside ($38.49 - $50.05) / $50.05 = -23.1% ROTCE 7.7% → 0.52x TBV
Fair Value $54.99 9.9% upside ($54.99 - $50.05) / $50.05 = 9.9% ROTCE 10.2% → 0.88x TBV
Bull Case $71.49 42.8% upside ($71.49 - $50.05) / $50.05 = 42.8% ROTCE 11.7% → 1.10x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

10.2%
11.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (10.2%) vs. cost of equity (11.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.47x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 10.2% vs. 11.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.88x on $34.07 tangible book, implying $54.99 per share. DDM cross-check: $21.13.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (32 analysts) $54.77
Analyst Range $40.00 – $70.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 0%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (10.2%) is below the minimum investors require (11.0%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Dividend-based valuation: $21.13 (62% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly