SharkNinja, Inc. logo SN - SharkNinja, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $194.01 DETAILS
HIGH: $219.10
LOW: $145.00
MEDIAN: $204.00
CONSENSUS: $194.01
UPSIDE: 10.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 58.0% above fair value
Current Price $174.92
Bear Case $96.89 44.6% downside ($96.89 - $174.92) / $174.92 = -44.6% $4.94 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $110.73 36.7% downside ($110.73 - $174.92) / $174.92 = -36.7% $4.94 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $124.58 28.8% downside ($124.58 - $174.92) / $174.92 = -28.8% $4.94 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.4x
4.94$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 35.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.94, the base-case value is $110.73 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $194.01
Analyst Range $145.00 – $219.10
Divergence from AlphaVal 43%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $194.01 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 43% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples