SharkNinja, Inc. logo SN - SharkNinja, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $164.71 DETAILS
HIGH: $200.00
LOW: $128.00
MEDIAN: $170.00
CONSENSUS: $164.71
UPSIDE: 9.77%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 19.1% above fair value
Current Price $150.05
Bear Case $110.23 26.5% downside ($110.23 - $150.05) / $150.05 = -26.5% $5.19 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $125.98 16.0% downside ($125.98 - $150.05) / $150.05 = -16.0% $5.19 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $141.73 5.5% downside ($141.73 - $150.05) / $150.05 = -5.5% $5.19 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.4x
5.19$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 28.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $164.71 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $125.98 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $164.71 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 29% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples