SN - SharkNinja, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$202.18
DETAILS
HIGH:
$219.10
LOW:
$170.00
MEDIAN:
$207.00
CONSENSUS:
$202.18
UPSIDE:
8.40%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.4x
4.94$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
37.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.94, the base-case value is $110.73 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$202.18
Analyst Range
$170.00 – $219.10
Divergence from AlphaVal
45%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $202.18 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples