SharkNinja, Inc. logo SN - SharkNinja, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $154.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $200.00
LOW: $128.00
MEDIAN: $145.00
CONSENSUS: $154.00
UPSIDE: 37.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.5% below fair value
Current Price $112.03
Bear Case $108.36 3.3% downside ($108.36 - $112.03) / $112.03 = -3.3% $5.19 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $123.84 10.5% upside ($123.84 - $112.03) / $112.03 = 10.5% $5.19 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $139.32 24.4% upside ($139.32 - $112.03) / $112.03 = 24.4% $5.19 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.4x
5.19$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 21.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $154.00 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $123.84 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples