SharkNinja, Inc. logo SN - SharkNinja, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $202.18 DETAILS
HIGH: $219.10
LOW: $170.00
MEDIAN: $207.00
CONSENSUS: $202.18
UPSIDE: 8.40%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 68.4% above fair value
Current Price $186.51
Bear Case $96.89 48.0% downside ($96.89 - $186.51) / $186.51 = -48.0% $4.94 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $110.73 40.6% downside ($110.73 - $186.51) / $186.51 = -40.6% $4.94 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $124.58 33.2% downside ($124.58 - $186.51) / $186.51 = -33.2% $4.94 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.4x
4.94$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 37.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.94, the base-case value is $110.73 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $202.18
Analyst Range $170.00 – $219.10
Divergence from AlphaVal 45%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $202.18 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples