AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Standard Motor Products, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag SMP as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Standard Motor Products, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for SMP is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value SMP?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from SMP's most recent reported fundamentals.

SMP - Standard Motor Products, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 13.6% below fair value

Current Price $37.90

Bear Case $38.37 1.2% upside ($38.37 - $37.90) / $37.90 = 1.2% $2.53 × 15x P/E

Fair Value $43.85 15.7% upside ($43.85 - $37.90) / $37.90 = 15.7% $2.53 × 17x P/E

Bull Case $49.33 30.2% upside ($49.33 - $37.90) / $37.90 = 30.2% $2.53 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

17.3x

Adjusted EPS

2.53$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.53, the base-case value is $43.85 per share. DDM cross-check: $35.49.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 37%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples