Sylvamo Corp logo SLVM - Sylvamo Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 1
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $50.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $51.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $50.50
CONSENSUS: $50.50
UPSIDE: 27.65%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 44.4% below fair value
Current Price $39.56
Bear Case $71.20 80.0% upside ($71.20 - $39.56) / $39.56 = 80.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $71.20 80.0% upside ($71.20 - $39.56) / $39.56 = 80.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $77.22 95.2% upside ($77.22 - $39.56) / $39.56 = 95.2% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 8.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) -3.2% vs our 3.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $71.20 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions