Sylvamo Corp logo SLVM - Sylvamo Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $49.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $49.00
MEDIAN: $49.50
CONSENSUS: $49.50
UPSIDE: 37.81%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 55.6% below fair value
Current Price $35.92
Bear Case $80.87 125.1% upside ($80.87 - $35.92) / $35.92 = 125.1% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $80.87 125.1% upside ($80.87 - $35.92) / $35.92 = 125.1% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $87.55 143.7% upside ($87.55 - $35.92) / $35.92 = 143.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 7.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) -5.7% vs our 3.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $80.87 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions