Sylvamo Corp logo SLVM - Sylvamo Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $43.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $49.00
LOW: $35.00
MEDIAN: $47.00
CONSENSUS: $43.67
UPSIDE: 33.26%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 59.5% below fair value
Current Price $32.77
Bear Case $80.82 146.6% upside ($80.82 - $32.77) / $32.77 = 146.6% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $80.82 146.6% upside ($80.82 - $32.77) / $32.77 = 146.6% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $87.49 167.0% upside ($87.49 - $32.77) / $32.77 = 167.0% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 6.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) -6.6% vs our 3.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $80.82 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions