Silgan Holdings Inc. logo SLGN - Silgan Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 5
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $53.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $59.00
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $54.00
CONSENSUS: $53.50
UPSIDE: 16.13%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 8.7% below fair value
Current Price $46.07
Bear Case $40.37 12.4% downside ($40.37 - $46.07) / $46.07 = -12.4% $3.30 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $50.46 9.5% upside ($50.46 - $46.07) / $46.07 = 9.5% $3.30 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $60.56 31.4% upside ($60.56 - $46.07) / $46.07 = 31.4% $3.30 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.3$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $53.50 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $50.46 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples