SLGN - Silgan Holdings Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$54.83
DETAILS
HIGH:
$59.00
LOW:
$47.00
MEDIAN:
$56.50
CONSENSUS:
$54.83
UPSIDE:
32.09%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
2.7$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.70, the base-case value is $40.50 per share. DDM cross-check: $44.16.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (21 analysts)
$54.83
Analyst Range
$47.00 – $59.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
26%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $54.83 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 26% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples