SL Green Realty Corp. logo SLG - SL Green Realty Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 19
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $57.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $79.00
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $52.00
CONSENSUS: $57.00
UPSIDE: 0.28%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Distressed or Transitioning 70% confidence

Primary model: Current FCF × Depressed Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.0% below fair value
Current Price $56.84
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $56.84) / $56.84 = -100.0% Same FCF, market stays skeptical at 4x
Fair Value $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $56.84) / $56.84 = -100.0% Same FCF, 6x depressed multiple
Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $56.84) / $56.84 = -100.0% Same FCF, multiple re-rates to 8x

Adjust Assumptions

6.0x

Key Value Driver

Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired

Implied Market Multiple 41.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Stock is 14% below 52-week high. Using current FCF at a 6x depressed multiple, base-case value is $0.00. Wide scenario range: $0.00–$0.00.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (31 analysts) $57.00
Analyst Range $46.00 – $79.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 100%

Warnings

Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Debt per share ($107.34) is more than half the stock price. With this much debt on a struggling business, the paths to recovery for shareholders are narrow.
Wall Street's average price target is $57.00 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
  • M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
  • Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case