SLG - SL Green Realty Corp.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$58.72
DETAILS
HIGH:
$79.00
LOW:
$52.00
MEDIAN:
$57.00
CONSENSUS:
$58.72
UPSIDE:
20.30%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Distressed or Transitioning
70% confidence
Primary model: Current FCF × Depressed Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
6.0x
Key Value Driver
Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired
Implied Market Multiple
39.0x
Plain-Language Summary
Stock is 19% below 52-week high. Using current FCF at a 6x depressed multiple, base-case value is $0.00. Wide scenario range: $0.00–$0.00.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (31 analysts)
$58.72
Analyst Range
$52.00 – $79.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
100%
Warnings
Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Debt per share ($107.34) is more than half the stock price. With this much debt on a struggling business, the paths to recovery for shareholders are narrow.
Wall Street's average price target is $58.72 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
- M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
- Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case