Solid Power, Inc. logo SLDP - Solid Power, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 2
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Distressed or Transitioning 75% confidence

Primary model: Current EPS × Depressed Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 464.2% above fair value
Current Price $3.19
Bear Case $0.38 88.2% downside ($0.38 - $3.19) / $3.19 = -88.2% EPS continues to decline, 5x multiple
Fair Value $0.57 82.3% downside ($0.57 - $3.19) / $3.19 = -82.3% Current EPS stabilizes, 8x multiple
Bull Case $0.76 76.4% downside ($0.76 - $3.19) / $3.19 = -76.4% Credible recovery, multiple re-rates to 10x

Adjust Assumptions

7.5x

Key Value Driver

Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired

Implied Market Multiple 42.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Stock is 64% below 52-week high. Using current EPS at a 8x depressed multiple, base-case value is $0.57. Wide scenario range: $0.38–$0.76.

Warnings

Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.

Key Risks

  • Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
  • M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
  • Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case