Solid Power, Inc. logo SLDP - Solid Power, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 2
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $6.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $6.75
LOW: $6.75
MEDIAN: $6.75
CONSENSUS: $6.75
UPSIDE: 192.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Distressed or Transitioning 75% confidence

Primary model: Current EPS × Depressed Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 27.9% above fair value
Current Price $2.31
Bear Case $1.20 47.9% downside ($1.20 - $2.31) / $2.31 = -47.9% EPS continues to decline, 5x multiple
Fair Value $1.81 21.8% downside ($1.81 - $2.31) / $2.31 = -21.8% Current EPS stabilizes, 8x multiple
Bull Case $2.41 4.2% upside ($2.41 - $2.31) / $2.31 = 4.2% Credible recovery, multiple re-rates to 10x

Adjust Assumptions

7.5x

Key Value Driver

Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired

Implied Market Multiple 30.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Current EPS × Depressed Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $6.75 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $1.81 per share.

Warnings

Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Wall Street's average price target is $6.75 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 92% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
  • M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
  • Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case